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Declaration of Reasonable Doubt

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The Declaration of Reasonable Doubt is an Internet signing petition which seeks to enlist broad public support for the Shakespeare authorship question to be accepted as a legitimate field of academic inquiry. The petition was presented to William Leahy of Brunel University by the actors Derek Jacobi and Mark Rylance on 8 September 2007 in Chichester , England, after the final matinee of the play I Am Shakespeare on the topic of the bard's identity, featuring Rylance in the title role. As of 23 April 2016, the 400th anniversary of Shakespeare's death and the original self-imposed deadline, the document had been signed by 3,348 people, including 573 self-described current and former academics. As of December 2022, the count stood at 5,128 total signatures.

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45-648: The declaration has been met by scepticism from academic Shakespeareans and literary critics. For the most part, they disparage the idea that Shakespeare is a pseudonym for one or more individuals who wrote the works attributed to him and characterise the doubt as an exercise in the logical fallacies of argumentum ad populum (appeal to popularity or the appeal to numbers) and argument from false authority . The declaration has been signed by prominent public figures, including U.S. Supreme Court Justices John Paul Stevens and Sandra Day O'Connor , in staged signing events followed by press releases in order to gain publicity for

90-536: A calculus, a method of representing categorical statements (and statements that are not provided for in syllogism as well) by the use of quantifiers and variables. A noteworthy exception is the logic developed in Bernard Bolzano 's work Wissenschaftslehre ( Theory of Science , 1837), the principles of which were applied as a direct critique of Kant, in the posthumously published work New Anti-Kant (1850). The work of Bolzano had been largely overlooked until

135-424: A deductive syllogism arises when two true premises (propositions or statements) validly imply a conclusion, or the main point that the argument aims to get across. For example, knowing that all men are mortal (major premise), and that Socrates is a man (minor premise), we may validly conclude that Socrates is mortal. Syllogistic arguments are usually represented in a three-line form: All men are mortal. Socrates

180-476: A more coherent concept of Aristotle's modal syllogism model. The French philosopher Jean Buridan (c. 1300 – 1361), whom some consider the foremost logician of the later Middle Ages, contributed two significant works: Treatise on Consequence and Summulae de Dialectica , in which he discussed the concept of the syllogism, its components and distinctions, and ways to use the tool to expand its logical capability. For 200 years after Buridan's discussions, little

225-760: A more inductive approach to the observation of nature, which involves experimentation, and leads to discovering and building on axioms to create a more general conclusion. Yet, a full method of drawing conclusions in nature is not the scope of logic or syllogism, and the inductive method was covered in Aristotle's subsequent treatise, the Posterior Analytics . In the 19th century, modifications to syllogism were incorporated to deal with disjunctive ("A or B") and conditional ("if A then B") statements. Immanuel Kant famously claimed, in Logic (1800), that logic

270-548: A non sequitur is a statement in which the final part is totally unrelated to the first part, for example: Life is life and fun is fun, but it's all so quiet when the goldfish die. Syllogism A syllogism ( ‹See Tfd› Greek : συλλογισμός , syllogismos , 'conclusion, inference') is a kind of logical argument that applies deductive reasoning to arrive at a conclusion based on two propositions that are asserted or assumed to be true. In its earliest form (defined by Aristotle in his 350 BC book Prior Analytics ),

315-427: A premise. In this case, "All birds have beaks" is converted to "All beaked animals are birds." The reversed premise is plausible because few people are aware of any instances of beaked creatures besides birds—but this premise is not the one that was given. In this way, the deductive fallacy is formed by points that may individually appear logical, but when placed together are shown to be incorrect. In everyday speech,

360-439: A rectangle is a square that is a quadrangle." A categorical syllogism consists of three parts: Each part is a categorical proposition , and each categorical proposition contains two categorical terms. In Aristotle, each of the premises is in the form "All S are P," "Some S are P", "No S are P" or "Some S are not P", where "S" is the subject-term and "P" is the predicate-term: More modern logicians allow some variation. Each of

405-698: Is a man. Therefore, Socrates is mortal. In antiquity, two rival syllogistic theories existed: Aristotelian syllogism and Stoic syllogism . From the Middle Ages onwards, categorical syllogism and syllogism were usually used interchangeably. This article is concerned only with this historical use. The syllogism was at the core of historical deductive reasoning, whereby facts are determined by combining existing statements, in contrast to inductive reasoning , in which facts are predicted by repeated observations. Within some academic contexts, syllogism has been superseded by first-order predicate logic following

450-438: Is about drawing valid conclusions from assumptions ( axioms ), rather than about verifying the assumptions. However, people over time focused on the logic aspect, forgetting the importance of verifying the assumptions. In the 17th century, Francis Bacon emphasized that experimental verification of axioms must be carried out rigorously, and cannot take syllogism itself as the best way to draw conclusions in nature. Bacon proposed

495-475: Is contrasted with an informal fallacy which may have a valid logical form and yet be unsound because one or more premises are false. A formal fallacy, however, may have a true premise, but a false conclusion. "Some of your key evidence is missing, incomplete, or even faked! That proves I'm right!" "The vet can't find any reasonable explanation for why my dog died. See! See! That proves that you poisoned him! There’s no other logical explanation!" In

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540-521: Is emphasized by the historian of logic John Corcoran in an accessible introduction to Laws of Thought . Corcoran also wrote a point-by-point comparison of Prior Analytics and Laws of Thought . According to Corcoran, Boole fully accepted and endorsed Aristotle's logic. Boole's goals were "to go under, over, and beyond" Aristotle's logic by: More specifically, Boole agreed with what Aristotle said; Boole's 'disagreements', if they might be called that, concern what Aristotle did not say. First, in

585-766: Is explicated in modern fora of academia primarily in introductory material and historical study. One notable exception to this modern relegation is the continued application of Aristotelian logic by officials of the Congregation for the Doctrine of the Faith , and the Apostolic Tribunal of the Roman Rota , which still requires that any arguments crafted by Advocates be presented in syllogistic format. George Boole 's unwavering acceptance of Aristotle's logic

630-551: Is invalid. The argument itself could have true premises , but still have a false conclusion . Thus, a formal fallacy is a fallacy in which deduction goes wrong, and is no longer a logical process. This may not affect the truth of the conclusion, since validity and truth are separate in formal logic. While a logical argument is a non sequitur if, and only if, it is invalid, the term "non sequitur" typically refers to those types of invalid arguments which do not constitute formal fallacies covered by particular terms (e.g., affirming

675-427: Is known as the middle term ; in this example, humans . Both of the premises are universal, as is the conclusion. Here, the major term is die , the minor term is men , and the middle term is mortals . Again, both premises are universal, hence so is the conclusion. A polysyllogism, or a sorites , is a form of argument in which a series of incomplete syllogisms is so arranged that the predicate of each premise forms

720-459: Is not validity preserving. People often have difficulty applying the rules of logic. For example, a person may say the following syllogism is valid, when in fact it is not: "That creature" may well be a bird, but the conclusion does not follow from the premises. Certain other animals also have beaks, for example: an octopus and a squid both have beaks, some turtles and cetaceans have beaks. Errors of this type occur because people reverse

765-430: Is the subject of the conclusion, P is the predicate of the conclusion, and M is the middle term. The major premise links M with P and the minor premise links M with S. However, the middle term can be either the subject or the predicate of each premise where it appears. The differing positions of the major, minor, and middle terms gives rise to another classification of syllogisms known as the figure . Given that in each case

810-404: Is traditional to use is rather than are as the copula , hence All A is B rather than All As are Bs . It is traditional and convenient practice to use a, e, i, o as infix operators so the categorical statements can be written succinctly. The following table shows the longer form, the succinct shorthand, and equivalent expressions in predicate logic: The convention here is that the letter S

855-421: The 12th century, his textbooks on the categorical syllogism were central to expanding the syllogistic discussion. Rather than in any additions that he personally made to the field, Boethius' logical legacy lies in his effective transmission of prior theories to later logicians, as well as his clear and primarily accurate presentations of Aristotle's contributions. Another of medieval logic's first contributors from

900-575: The Latin West, Peter Abelard (1079–1142), gave his own thorough evaluation of the syllogism concept, and accompanying theory in the Dialectica —a discussion of logic based on Boethius' commentaries and monographs. His perspective on syllogisms can be found in other works as well, such as Logica Ingredientibus . With the help of Abelard's distinction between de dicto modal sentences and de re modal sentences, medieval logicians began to shape

945-565: The Venn diagrams, the black areas indicate no elements, and the red areas indicate at least one element. In the predicate logic expressions, a horizontal bar over an expression means to negate ("logical not") the result of that expression. It is also possible to use graphs (consisting of vertices and edges) to evaluate syllogisms. Similar: Cesare (EAE-2) Camestres is essentially like Celarent with S and P exchanged. Similar: Calemes (AEE-4) Similar: Datisi (AII-3) Disamis

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990-426: The conclusion can be of type A, E, I or O, and the syllogism can be any of the four figures. A syllogism can be described briefly by giving the letters for the premises and conclusion followed by the number for the figure. For example, the syllogism BARBARA below is AAA-1, or "A-A-A in the first figure". The vast majority of the 256 possible forms of syllogism are invalid (the conclusion does not follow logically from

1035-431: The conclusion is S-P, the four figures are: (Note, however, that, following Aristotle's treatment of the figures, some logicians—e.g., Peter Abelard and Jean Buridan —reject the fourth figure as a figure distinct from the first.) Putting it all together, there are 256 possible types of syllogisms (or 512 if the order of the major and minor premises is changed, though this makes no difference logically). Each premise and

1080-418: The consequent ). In other words, in practice, "non sequitur" refers to an unnamed formal fallacy. A special case is a mathematical fallacy , an intentionally invalid mathematical proof , often with the error subtle and somehow concealed. Mathematical fallacies are typically crafted and exhibited for educational purposes, usually taking the form of spurious proofs of obvious contradictions . A formal fallacy

1125-422: The form (note: M – Middle, S – subject, P – predicate.): The premises and conclusion of a syllogism can be any of four types, which are labeled by letters as follows. The meaning of the letters is given by the table: In Prior Analytics , Aristotle uses mostly the letters A, B, and C (Greek letters alpha , beta , and gamma ) as term place holders, rather than giving concrete examples. It

1170-513: The goal of the petition. The declaration named twenty prominent figures from the 19th and 20th centuries who the coalition claim were doubters: In 2015, responding to criticism of the inclusion of some of the names on the list, the SAC removed two names, replaced them with two others, and revised the entries of two other names on the doubters list. The caveats were added to the entries on Ralph Waldo Emerson and Orson Welles. Charles Dickens (1812–1870)

1215-426: The heading "Removed from Past Doubters list". These two names were replaced with Hugh Trevor Roper and George Greenwood . Logical fallacies In logic and philosophy , a formal fallacy is a pattern of reasoning rendered invalid by a flaw in its logical structure that can neatly be expressed in a standard logic system, for example propositional logic . It is defined as a deductive argument that

1260-617: The late 20th century, among other reasons, because of the intellectual environment at the time in Bohemia , which was then part of the Austrian Empire . In the last 20 years, Bolzano's work has resurfaced and become subject of both translation and contemporary study. This led to the rapid development of sentential logic and first-order predicate logic , subsuming syllogistic reasoning, which was, therefore, after 2000 years, suddenly considered obsolete by many. The Aristotelian system

1305-451: The mid-12th century, medieval logicians were only familiar with a portion of Aristotle's works, including such titles as Categories and On Interpretation , works that contributed heavily to the prevailing Old Logic, or logica vetus . The onset of a New Logic, or logica nova , arose alongside the reappearance of Prior Analytics , the work in which Aristotle developed his theory of the syllogism. Prior Analytics , upon rediscovery,

1350-532: The mid-14th century by the likes of John Buridan . Aristotle's Prior Analytics did not, however, incorporate such a comprehensive theory on the modal syllogism—a syllogism that has at least one modalized premise, that is, a premise containing the modal words necessarily , possibly , or contingently . Aristotle's terminology in this aspect of his theory was deemed vague, and in many cases unclear, even contradicting some of his statements from On Interpretation . His original assertions on this specific component of

1395-479: The premises has one term in common with the conclusion: in a major premise, this is the major term (i.e., the predicate of the conclusion); in a minor premise, this is the minor term (i.e., the subject of the conclusion). For example: Each of the three distinct terms represents a category. From the example above, humans , mortal , and Greeks : mortal is the major term, and Greeks the minor term. The premises also have one term in common with each other, which

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1440-403: The premises). The table below shows the valid forms. Even some of these are sometimes considered to commit the existential fallacy , meaning they are invalid if they mention an empty category. These controversial patterns are marked in italics . All but four of the patterns in italics (felapton, darapti, fesapo and bamalip) are weakened moods, i.e. it is possible to draw a stronger conclusion from

1485-459: The premises. The letters A, E, I, and O have been used since the medieval Schools to form mnemonic names for the forms as follows: 'Barbara' stands for AAA, 'Celarent' for EAE, etc. Next to each premise and conclusion is a shorthand description of the sentence. So in AAI-3, the premise "All squares are rectangles" becomes "MaP"; the symbols mean that the first term ("square") is the middle term,

1530-401: The realm of applications, Boole's system could handle multi-term propositions and arguments, whereas Aristotle could handle only two-termed subject-predicate propositions and arguments. For example, Aristotle's system could not deduce: "No quadrangle that is a square is a rectangle that is a rhombus" from "No square that is a quadrangle is a rhombus that is a rectangle" or from "No rhombus that is

1575-420: The realm of foundations, Boole reduced Aristotle's four propositional forms to one form, the form of equations, which by itself was a revolutionary idea. Second, in the realm of logic's problems, Boole's addition of equation solving to logic—another revolutionary idea—involved Boole's doctrine that Aristotle's rules of inference (the "perfect syllogisms") must be supplemented by rules for equation solving. Third, in

1620-522: The second term ("rectangle") is the predicate of the conclusion, and the relationship between the two terms is labeled "a" (All M are P). The following table shows all syllogisms that are essentially different. The similar syllogisms share the same premises, just written in a different way. For example "Some pets are kittens" (SiM in Darii ) could also be written as "Some kittens are pets" (MiS in Datisi). In

1665-407: The strictest sense, a logical fallacy is the incorrect application of a valid logical principle or an application of a nonexistent principle: This is fallacious. Indeed, there is no logical principle that states: An easy way to show the above inference as invalid is by using Venn diagrams . In logical parlance, the inference is invalid, since under at least one interpretation of the predicates it

1710-471: The subject of the next until the subject of the first is joined with the predicate of the last in the conclusion. For example, one might argue that all lions are big cats, all big cats are predators, and all predators are carnivores. To conclude that therefore all lions are carnivores is to construct a sorites argument. There are infinitely many possible syllogisms, but only 256 logically distinct types and only 24 valid types (enumerated below). A syllogism takes

1755-505: The theory were left up to a considerable amount of conversation, resulting in a wide array of solutions put forth by commentators of the day. The system for modal syllogisms laid forth by Aristotle would ultimately be deemed unfit for practical use, and would be replaced by new distinctions and new theories altogether. Boethius (c. 475–526) contributed an effort to make the ancient Aristotelian logic more accessible. While his Latin translation of Prior Analytics went primarily unused before

1800-483: The things supposed results of necessity because these things are so." Despite this very general definition, in Prior Analytics Aristotle limits himself to categorical syllogisms that consist of three categorical propositions , including categorical modal syllogisms. The use of syllogisms as a tool for understanding can be dated back to the logical reasoning discussions of Aristotle . Before

1845-496: The work of Gottlob Frege , in particular his Begriffsschrift ( Concept Script ; 1879). Syllogism, being a method of valid logical reasoning, will always be useful in most circumstances, and for general-audience introductions to logic and clear-thinking. In antiquity, two rival syllogistic theories existed: Aristotelian syllogism and Stoic syllogism. Aristotle defines the syllogism as "a discourse in which certain (specific) things having been supposed, something different from

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1890-476: Was instantly regarded by logicians as "a closed and complete body of doctrine", leaving very little for thinkers of the day to debate, and reorganize. Aristotle's theory on the syllogism for assertoric sentences was considered especially remarkable, with only small systematic changes occurring to the concept over time. This theory of the syllogism would not enter the context of the more comprehensive logic of consequence until logic began to be reworked in general in

1935-415: Was originally included on the list based upon an incomplete misquotation that was interpreted as a statement of doubt. Stage and film actor and director Leslie Howard (1893–1943) was included on the basis of the lines he spoke as the lead character in the 1941 film, "Pimpernel" Smith . Both names have been removed from the list, but the entries remain online in the "past doubters" pages of the website with

1980-498: Was said about syllogistic logic. Historians of logic have assessed that the primary changes in the post-Middle Age era were changes in respect to the public's awareness of original sources, a lessening of appreciation for the logic's sophistication and complexity, and an increase in logical ignorance—so that logicians of the early 20th century came to view the whole system as ridiculous. The Aristotelian syllogism dominated Western philosophical thought for many centuries. Syllogism itself

2025-460: Was the one completed science, and that Aristotelian logic more or less included everything about logic that there was to know. (This work is not necessarily representative of Kant's mature philosophy, which is often regarded as an innovation to logic itself.) Kant's opinion stood unchallenged in the West until 1879, when Gottlob Frege published his Begriffsschrift ( Concept Script ). This introduced

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