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Straw poll

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A straw poll , straw vote , or straw ballot is an ad hoc or unofficial vote . It is used to show the popular opinion on a certain matter, and can be used to help politicians know the majority opinion and help them decide what to say in order to gain votes.

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62-485: Straw polls provide dialogue among movements within large groups. Impromptu straw polls often are taken to see if there is enough support for an idea to devote more meeting time to it, and (when not a secret ballot) for the attendees to see who is on which side of a question. However, in meetings subject to Robert's Rules of Order , motions to take straw polls are not allowed. Among political bodies, straw polls often are scheduled for events at which many people interested in

124-399: A constitution or bylaws , rules of order ( special rules of order and parliamentary authority ), standing rules , and customs. To conduct business, groups have meetings or sessions that may be separated by more than or be within a quarterly time interval . The types of meetings are a regular meeting, a special meeting, an adjourned meeting , an annual meeting , an executive session ,

186-579: A parliamentary authority in itself. Through a family trust, and later through the Robert's Rules Association (which is made up of descendants of Henry M. Robert), several subsequent editions of Robert's Rules of Order have been published, including another major revision of the work. The Seventh Edition, published in February 1970 on the 94th anniversary of the publication of the First Edition,

248-458: A vote , and announcing the results of the vote. Action could be taken informally without going through these steps by using unanimous consent . When making a choice, the basic principle of decision is majority vote . In situations when more than majority vote is required, the requirement could include a two-thirds vote , previous notice , or a vote of a majority of the entire membership . The book provides details about main motions including

310-496: A Two-Thirds Vote", (7) "Motions Whose Reconsideration Is Prohibited Or Limited", and (8) "Table of Rules for Counting Election Ballots". In addition to containing a summary of basic points from the current (12th) edition of Robert's Rules of Order Newly Revised (RONR), the following contents are unique to the current (3rd) edition of Robert's Rules of Order Newly Revised In Brief (RONRIB): an example of an agenda, additional sample dialogues, frequently asked questions, an example of

372-599: A call of a meeting, an example of a memorandum listing the order of business , and the following tables: (A) "Handling Motions as chair", (B) "When Chair Stands and Sits", (C) "Conducting a Meeting as chair", (D) "Table of Rules Relating to Motions", and (E) "Words to Use as a Member". The Robert's Rules Association has also made the Eleventh Edition available in CD-ROM format (designed for installation on Windows PCs) through American Legal Publishing. The CD contains

434-553: A factor of five percentage points over the actual results of the election, while polls of "likely voters" tended to favor Republican candidates by a factor of one percentage point over the actual results of the election. According to the Huffington Post this is because registered voters who are least likely to actually cast a ballot tend to be low-income voters, or persons living in urban areas, which are constituencies that tend to favor Democratic candidates. A 2018 study by

496-447: A financial report given by the treasurer . In addition, an organization may have a board to handle business on behalf of the organization. Officers and boards only have such authority and powers that are given to them in the governing documents of the organization. There may also be committees that are formed to assist the organization. The boards and committees may have reports to give as well. People may gather in mass meetings for

558-568: A full book of explanations titled Parliamentary Law in 1923. In those cases in which the bylaws or other governing documents of an organization refer to "Robert's Rules of Order", certain rules in the book may be subordinate to other specified rules, including any conflicting provisions in applicable law, the corporate charter, the constitution or bylaws, and special rules of order. Even if an organization has adopted Robert's Rules of Order , it can still adopt its own rules which supersede any rules in this book. The only limitations might come from

620-528: A higher probability of being a Republican." In addition, a 2017 analysis from the Pew Research Center found that "voter-only polls tend to get somewhat more favorable views of a Republican president or candidate and less favorable views of Democrats. This pattern was evident during Barack Obama ’s presidency, with his overall ratings tending to be somewhat higher among the general public than among registered or likely voters." A 2020 report from

682-446: A landline phone, being the party that answers the phone, being willing to answer the poll questions, and being a " likely voter " based on pollster criteria. Response bias occurs when respondents do not indicate their true beliefs, such as in bias due to intentional manipulation by respondents, haste, social pressure, or confusion; such biases may be present in any polling situation. Wording of questions may also inject bias, although this

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744-401: A particular edition. The authorship team of the current Twelfth Edition consists of a grandson of General Robert, an attorney, a lobbyist and legislative analyst, a mathematics professor, and a copy editor, all of them being experienced parliamentarians . More than six million copies have been printed (which is a total of all editions). The following table lists the official versions of

806-563: A period of months, conducted with interim results publicized, or even conducted with explicit permission to vote multiple times. The meaning of results from the varying poll types is disputed. Opinion polls are generally conducted with statistical selection controls in place and are thus called "scientific", while straw polls and honor-system polls are conducted among self-selected populations and are called "unscientific". However, as predictors of poll results among larger populations (i.e., elections), each method has known flaws. A margin of error

868-412: A public session, and electronic meetings. A member of a deliberative assembly has the right to attend meetings, make motions, speak in debate, and vote. The process of making a decision is done through a motion , which is a proposal to do something. The formal steps in handling a motion are the making of a motion, having a second, stating the motion, having debate on the motion, putting the motion to

930-474: A reputation as a meaningful straw poll during the presidential campaign because of its large voter turnout and relatively high media recognition, as well as Iowa's being the first state to vote in caucuses before the primaries. In 2015 the Iowa Republican Party voted to abolish the poll, after a majority of presidential candidates declined to participate. The Iowa State Fair Straw Polls for both

992-432: A specific purpose or cause. One such purpose of the mass meetings could be for the intent of organizing a permanent society. Each organization has its basic rules contained in its bylaws . The bylaws could describe the name of the organization and its purpose, the requirements to be a member or an officer, how meetings are scheduled, if there are boards or committees (or both), its parliamentary authority , and how to amend

1054-399: A time; one person, one vote; and a vote being limited to members present. A group that uses the book is called a deliberative assembly . The types of deliberative assemblies are a mass meeting , a local assembly of an organized society (local club or local branch), a convention , a legislative body , and a board . An organization may have rules which could include a corporate charter ,

1116-451: Is a manual of parliamentary procedure by U.S. Army officer Henry Martyn Robert . "The object of Rules of Order is to assist an assembly to accomplish the work for which it was designed [...] Where there is no law [...] there is the least of real liberty." The term Robert's Rules of Order is also used more generically to refer to any of the more recent editions, by various editors and authors, based on any of Robert's original editions, and

1178-535: Is also recognized as "the most widely used reference for meeting procedure and business rules in the English-speaking world". The book states that it is "a codification of the present-day general parliamentary law". "General parliamentary law" refers to the common rules and customs for conducting business in organizations and assemblies. It does not refer to statutory legal requirements nor to common-law precedent derived from court judgments. In other words,

1240-422: Is downloaded online is likely an older edition (1915 or earlier) that is available in the public domain . Translations of any edition of Robert's Rules of Order into other languages have not been published by the Robert's Rules Association. Any translated copy of Robert's Rules of Order done by a third party may not accurately reflect the correct meaning in the target language. The following table lists some of

1302-584: Is intrinsic in any subset polling method, and is a mathematical function of the difference in size between the subset and the larger population; sampling error is constant across different poll methods with the same sample sizes. Selection bias , nonresponse bias, or coverage bias occurs when the conditions for subset polling significantly differ from the conditions for the larger poll or election; event-based straw polls, where registration often closely mirrors voter registration, suffer less from nonresponse bias than opinion polls, where inclusion generally means owning

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1364-428: Is more likely in a telephone setting than in an event-based ballot setting. By relying on identity information, such as that publicly traceable to telephone numbers or voter registration addresses and that voluntarily provided by respondents such as age and gender, polls can be made more scientific. Straw polls may be improved by: asking identity questions, tracing group-based trends, and publishing statistical studies of

1426-400: Is serious division, however, it is in human nature that each side will attempt to construe any ambiguity in the rules in such a way as to foster its substantive objectives. The ideal is that the rules applicable to a contentious subject are so clear that the contending sides cannot plausibly differently interpret them to their own advantage. Only then does parliamentary law fully play its role as

1488-484: Is to come up in a meeting could be listed in an order of business or an agenda . Each member could get a chance to speak through assignment of the floor and debate . Debate may be limited in the number of speeches and time and should be respectful to others at all times. Voting takes place to decide the course of action and it could be done in a multitude of ways, such as voice vote, standing vote, and ballot vote . Officers in an organization could be elected through

1550-659: The American Association for Public Opinion Research , "there is a consensus in the polling community that it is better to report 'likely' voters than ' registered ' voters". Reporting on a Pew study, the Washington Post has noted that polls of "likely voters" represent the "Holy Grail of polling" and are most likely to accurately reflect the outcome of an election. An analysis of 2010 polling by FiveThirtyEight concluded that polls of "registered voters" that year tended to favor Democratic candidates by

1612-597: The Pew Research Center found that in 2018 and 2019, "34% of registered voters identified as independent, compared with 33% who identify as Democrats and 29% who identify as Republicans. The share of registered voters who identify with the Republican Party is up 3 percentage points, from 26% in 2017, while there has been no change in the share who identify as Democrats." The report found wide differences among partisans based on race, gender, and education. The report notes that women are likelier than men to identify with

1674-544: The Pew Research Center found that registered voters tend to lean more to the Democratic Party than to the Republican Party , stating that "For those individuals identified as registered to vote by state governments, the voter file has a score (ranging from 0 to 100) describing their likelihood of voting for Democrats or Republicans, with higher numbers indicating a preference for Democrats. According to

1736-479: The general will on the maximum number of questions of varying complexity in a minimum amount of time and under all kinds of internal climate ranging from total harmony to hardened or impassioned division of opinion". The book is designed for use in ordinary societies rather than legislative assemblies , and it is the most commonly adopted parliamentary authority among societies in the United States. It

1798-512: The Democratic Party. The study found that "underlying the gender gap in leaned party identification is a gender difference in voters’ straight party identification: Men are more likely to identify as Republicans (31%) than Democrats (26%), while the reverse is true among women (39% identify as Democrats, 28% as Republicans)." Polls targeting "likely voters" generally begin with a list of known registered voters and then ask respondents

1860-732: The Politburo and the Standing Committee . Straw polls are contrasted with opinion polls , usually conducted by telephone and based on samples of the voting public. Straw polls can also be contrasted with honor-system polls (such as online polls), in which ordinary voting controls are absent. In an ordinary event-based straw poll, controls common to elections are enforced: voting twice is prohibited; polls are not open for inordinately long periods of time; interim results are not publicized before polls close; etc. Honor-system polls may be conducted wholly online, conducted at one location over

1922-621: The Republican and Democratic races were conducted at the Iowa State Fair instead. The U.S. territories of Guam and since 2024 Puerto Rico hold presidential straw polls during every presidential election, despite the island's having no official say in the election. Since the 1990s, membership of the Chinese Politburo has been determined through deliberations and straw polls by incumbent and retired members of both

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1984-509: The Roberts Rules Association, and is intended as an introductory book for those unfamiliar with parliamentary procedure . The authors say, "In only thirty minutes, the average reader can learn the bare essentials, and with about ninety minutes' reading can cover all the basics." It is meant to be an introductory supplement to the current edition of Robert's Rules of Order Newly Revised and is not suitable for adoption as

2046-411: The United States. It governs the meetings of a diverse range of organizations—including church groups, county commissions, homeowners' associations, nonprofit associations, professional societies, school boards, trade unions, and college fraternities and sororities—that have adopted it as their parliamentary authority . Robert published four editions of the manual before his death in 1923, the last being

2108-414: The body of work known as Robert's Rules of Order developed by Henry M. Robert and maintained by his successors. Robert's Rules of Order (75th Anniversary) ("Millennium") Generally, Robert's Rules of Order is a guide for conducting meetings and making decisions as a group. The purpose of the book is "to enable assemblies of any size, with due regard for every member's opinion, to arrive at

2170-414: The book covers various topics in detail. Brief summaries of these topics are as follows: Depending on the situation, motions could be renewed , or made again. On the other hand, members should not use legitimate motions for dilatory and improper purposes to waste time. A quorum , or minimum number of members, is required to be present at a meeting in order to validly conduct business. The business that

2232-418: The book is about procedures for meetings and not about what is "legal" (i.e. it is not a law book ). As a reference, it is designed to answer, as nearly as possible, any question of parliamentary procedure that may arise. The Twelfth Edition contains 633 pages of text, and all of its original content was included because it "has at some time come up as a question of procedure somewhere". The completeness of

2294-411: The book provides a history of parliamentary procedure and includes the background and history of Robert's Rules of Order. Rules in the book are based on the rights of the majority, of the minority (especially a strong minority that is greater than one third), of individual members, of absentees, and of all these together. Some fundamental principles upon which the book is based include: one question at

2356-412: The book was made so that organizations would not have to write extensive rules for themselves. In addition, members of different organizations could refer to the same book of rules. Henry M. Robert III responded to the simplification by saying the following: In an effort to make parliamentary procedure more widely accessible, known, and employed, the approach of "simplification" unfortunately resurrects

2418-501: The book, whose full title was Pocket Manual of Rules of Order for Deliberative Assemblies , was published in February 1876 by the then-Major Robert, with the short title Robert's Rules of Order placed on its cover. The procedures prescribed by the book were loosely modeled after those used in the United States House of Representatives, with such adaptations as Robert saw fit for use in ordinary societies. Although he

2480-438: The bylaws. Representatives from constituent groups may gather as delegates in conventions to conduct business on behalf of the organization. Conventions may consist of several meetings and may last for several days or more on an annual basis or other such infrequent interval. If members do not act according to the organization's rules, they could be subject to disciplinary procedures . Such action could range from censure to

2542-426: The changes that were made between the editions of Robert's Rules of Order. The numbered pages may not correspond to the total number of pages in the edition due to additional material in the preface , introduction, and other miscellaneous pages that were not included in the numbering system. Generally, a fuller list and more details of the changes are found in the preface of each edition. A detailed list of changes for

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2604-400: The country had very different views regarding what the proper parliamentary rules were, and these conflicting views hampered the organizations in their work. He eventually became convinced of the need for a new manual on the subject, one which would enable many organizations to adopt the same set of rules. Henry M. Robert himself published four editions of the manual before his death in 1923,

2666-445: The current (12th) edition is provided on the website maintained by the Robert's Rules Association. All the changes were a result of questions and comments received from users. Likely voter Voter segments in political polling in the United States consist of all adults , registered voters , and likely voters . Political opinion polling in the United States usually surveys one of three population segments. According to

2728-466: The current editions of Robert's Rules of Order Newly Revised and Robert's Rules of Order Newly Revised In Brief as well as a "Timekeeper's Guide", " Teller 's Report", "Sample Rules for Electronic Meetings", various forms, and resources for "Ballot Voting and Understanding Secondary Amendments ". For the first time, an e-book version of the current Twelfth Edition was released by the Robert's Rules Association. Any copy of Robert's Rules of Order that

2790-486: The data. Opinion polls may be improved by more closely mirroring the larger poll or election anticipated, such as in wording of questions and inclusion procedure. Honor-system polls may be improved by adding ordinary voting controls; for example, online polls may rely on established social-networking and identity providers for verification to minimize multiple voting. Robert%27s Rules of Order Robert's Rules of Order , often simply referred to as Robert's Rules ,

2852-550: The extreme of expulsion from the organization. Officers could be disciplined by removal from office. The tinted pages (pages marked by a gray band along the outer edge) in the rear of the book contain the following charts, tables, and lists: (1) "Chart for Determining When Each Subsidiary or Privileged Motion Is In Order", (2) "Table of Rules Relating to Motions", (3) "Sample Forms Used in Making Motions", (4) and (5) "Motions and Parliamentary Steps", (6) "Motions Which Require

2914-567: The full voter file, 55% of all registered voters in the U.S. are likely Democrats and 33% are likely Republicans." An October 2019 report from the Pew Research Center found that, among registered voters, "the Democratic advantage in party affiliation is typically about 3 percentage points smaller than it is among the general public in our surveys... registered voters tend to be older, wealthier and more likely to be non-Hispanic whites and homeowners, all of which are characteristics associated with

2976-737: The last being the thoroughly revised and expanded Fourth Edition published as Robert's Rules of Order Revised for Deliberative Assemblies in May 1915. By this time Robert had long been retired from the Army with the rank of brigadier general. The revisions were based on the feedback from hundreds of letters that Robert had received through the years. In addition, to explain the rules in Robert's Rules of Order Revised (abbreviated ROR), Robert published an introductory book for beginners titled Parliamentary Practice: An Introduction to Parliamentary Law in 1921 and

3038-825: The media to influence delegates in caucus later (as well as delegates to political conventions), and thus serve as important precursors. Straw polls are also scheduled informally by other organizations interested in the U.S. presidential election . Well-known American straw polls include the Ames Straw Poll and the Texas Straw Poll , both conducted on behalf of their respective state Republican Party organizations. Being run by private organizations, they are not subject to public oversight or verifiability. However, they provide important interactive dialogue among movements within large groups, reflecting trends like organization and motivation. The Ames straw poll achieved

3100-442: The motion to ratify . In addition, the book lists other motions and provides details (including explanations, forms, and examples) on these motions which include: Details for each motion include its purpose, when it could be made, if it is debatable, if it is amendable, the vote required for adoption, and if it could be reconsidered. The "order of precedence", or rank, of the motions is also described in detail. The second half of

3162-439: The neutral arbiter that channels disputes into productive debate over substance, instead of time-wasting and manipulative maneuvering over procedure. The contents of the current (12th) edition of Robert's Rules of Order Newly Revised (RONR), published in 2020, include details on the types of groups that use the book, the ways that decisions could be made, and the various situations in which decisions are made. The Introduction in

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3224-608: The polling question can be expected to vote. Sometimes polls conducted without ordinary voting controls in place (i.e., on an honor system, such as in online polls ) are also called "straw polls". The idiom may allude to a straw (thin plant stalk) held up to see in what direction the wind blows, in this case, the metaphorical wind of group opinion. A formal straw poll is common in American political caucuses . Such straw polls can be taken before selecting delegates and voting on resolutions . The results of straw polls are taken by

3286-410: The process of nominations and elections . Each organization decides for itself which officers to have, but the minimum officers in a deliberative assembly are a presiding officer (usually " president " or " chairman ") and a secretary . The secretary keeps the minutes , or the official records of the proceedings, for each meeting. As part of their duties, the officers may have reports to give, such as

3348-576: The rules in a parent organization or from national, state, or local law. An example of a rule that organizations sometimes adopt is one that allows the use of proxy voting . Such a rule is not allowed unless the organization specifically provides for it in its bylaws. Since the copyrights for several of the original editions (1915 or earlier) have expired, numerous other books and manuals have been published incorporating "Robert's Rules of Order" as part of their titles, with some of them based on those earlier editions (see List of books with Robert's Rules in

3410-574: The term is used more generically in the United States to refer to parliamentary procedure. It was written primarily to help guide voluntary associations in their operations of governance. Robert's manual was first published in 1876 as an adaptation of the rules and practice of the United States Congress to suit the needs of non-legislative societies. Robert's Rules is the most widely used manual of parliamentary procedure in

3472-575: The thoroughly revised and expanded Fourth Edition published as Robert's Rules of Order Revised in May 1915. A U.S. Army officer, Henry Martyn Robert (1837–1923), saw a need for a standard of parliamentary procedure while living in San Francisco . He found San Francisco in the mid-to-late 19th century to be a chaotic place where meetings of any kind tended to be tumultuous, with little consistency of procedure and with people of many nationalities and traditions thrown together. The first edition of

3534-426: The title Robert's Rules of Order Newly Revised , Twelfth Edition. This edition states that it: supersedes all previous editions and is intended automatically to become the parliamentary authority in organizations whose bylaws prescribe "Robert's Rules of Order", "Robert's Rules of Order Revised", "Robert's Rules of Order Newly Revised", or "the current edition of" any of these titles, or the like, without specifying

3596-478: The title ). Some examples are Henry M. Robert III, grandson of the original author and Trustee for the Robert's Rules Association, had acknowledged that "there has been controversy among parliamentarians concerning the length of Robert's Rules in its various editions and the complexity of the rules it describes." As a result, a supplemental book was developed. In 2005, a shorter reference guide, Robert's Rules of Order Newly Revised In Brief (abbreviated RONRIB),

3658-448: The very problem that Robert's Rules first emerged to solve. When there are large gaps in the rules, one or more of three major problems occur: much time is spent in debating what the rules are or should be, the chair unilaterally imposes a result, or the majority imposes a result that frequently disregards the rights of the minority. When virtually everyone agrees, an assembly may be able to get by without resort to elaborate rules. When there

3720-425: Was in the military, the rules in his book were not based on military rules. The author's interest in parliamentary procedure began in 1863 when he was chosen to preside over a church meeting and, although he accepted the task, he felt that he did not have the necessary knowledge of proper procedure. In his later work as an active member of several organizations, Robert discovered that members from different areas of

3782-499: Was published by the same authorship team and publisher as the Tenth Edition of Robert's Rules of Order Newly Revised (RONR) and was made to be in accord with that edition of RONR. A third edition of this shorter guide was published in 2020 to conform with the current Twelfth Edition of Robert's Rules of Order Newly Revised . The In Brief book is the only concise guide for Robert's Rules of Order Newly Revised authorized by

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3844-399: Was the first under the title Robert's Rules of Order Newly Revised (RONR). The subsequent editions were based on additional feedback from users, including feedback received by electronic means in recent years. These later editions included material from Robert's Parliamentary Practice and Parliamentary Law . The current edition of the series became effective on September 1, 2020, under

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